New Report: Rising Business Costs Driving Up Prices for Washington Families

From groceries and childcare to restaurants and home repairs, Washington families are feeling the effects of rising costs across the state. A new report from the Washington Roundtable and Kinetic West examines a key reason: seven converging cost pressures are squeezing Washington’s businesses, forcing difficult tradeoffs and contributing to higher prices for the goods and services people rely on every day. Prices We Pay: The Cost of Doing Business in Washington is the second report in the Prices We Pay series. The first documented what Washington families are paying. This report helps explain why.

Washington is home to more than 160,000 small businesses, employing nearly half of the state’s workforce. They include the restaurants, childcare centers, hardware stores and retail shops Washingtonians rely on every day. When the cost of running these businesses rises rapidly, owners face tough choices about prices, hiring, wages, investment and whether they can keep serving their communities.

The report traces those pressures from business balance sheets to household budgets. Six small business case studies, each based on five to 10 years of financial records, show how rising costs are playing out across industries and regions, and how affordability impacts Washington families. While this report focuses on small businesses, the underlying pressures extend across the economy. Larger employers face similar cost drivers, often at even greater scale and compounded by industry-specific taxes and regulations; passing on costs is not unique to small businesses.

Key findings:

  • Cascading labor costs add approximately 43% on top of already high base wages. Additional costs from unemployment insurance, workers’ compensation, paid family and medical leave, and payroll taxes layer on top of wages. Because Washington’s base wages are already among the highest in the nation, that additional burden lands harder than in other states.
  • Occupancy costs are rising even when headline rents are not. Most small businesses operate under triple-net leases, meaning they also pay their landlord’s property taxes, building insurance, and maintenance costs. In Washington, commercial insurance premiums grew 69% between 2019 and 2024.
  • Washington’s inflation outpaces the nation, and tariffs are compounding the pressure. For the 12 months ending June 2026, the Seattle area posted a headline inflation rate of 4.5%, a full point above the 3.5% national rate. Tariff costs paid by mid-sized U.S. businesses tripled over the course of 2025, with about 90% falling on U.S. consumers and companies.
  • Businesses are shrinking margins, raising prices, and cutting hours in response. In a spring 2026 survey of Washington small businesses, 77% reported decreasing margins, 75% raised prices, and 50% slowed hiring in response to tax and cost increases.
  • Washington’s tax code creates a structural disadvantage. Washington is one of only seven states that taxes businesses on gross revenue rather than profit, and the state’s tax competitiveness ranking has fallen from 33rd to 45th in six years. Significant shifts in the tax code over the past 10 years — new surcharges, new business taxes, extending taxes to new categories of business activities, changes in existing tax categories, and local tax policy changes — increase unpredictability and make long-term planning harder.

“Washington businesses — small and large — are increasingly squeezed by a rising cost environment that has shifted faster than many can adapt. Those rising costs show up in the prices families pay every day. My message to policymakers is this: if your affordability agenda includes raising business taxes, it runs a real risk of making things more expensive, not less, for businesses and families. I urge you to dive into this research to understand how increased business costs contribute to the affordability crisis Washington families are facing,” said Rachel Smith, Washington Roundtable president.

From Washington small business owners:

“For nearly 40 years, we’ve had the privilege of caring for generations of families in downtown Seattle and building a childcare center our community depends on. But the cost of providing that care has become increasingly difficult to sustain. Nearly three-quarters of every dollar families pay in tuition now goes directly to labor costs, even after we were forced to scale back benefits we once fully covered for our employees. We care deeply about our teachers, our families, and the children we serve, but we haven’t taken a salary ourselves since 2020. After nearly four decades in business, we want nothing more than to keep our doors open and continue serving Seattle families, but it’s becoming harder every year to make the numbers work,” said Mick Fleming, owner, KidsCenter in Seattle.

“For over 25 years, Maryhill Winery has focused on bringing the best local wines to consumers statewide at an affordable price. Thanks to the hard work of our team, our revenue grew 80% over the last decade. Yet despite that growth, significant increases in Washington’s B&O tax and licensing fees, compounded by disproportionate increases in the state minimum wage and minimum annual salary, have made it increasingly difficult to keep up. We’ve absorbed these costs rather than pass them on to our customers, but we’ve reached a breaking point. Our net profit is now negative, putting the business we’ve spent decades building and our ability to support the employees who helped build it at risk,” said Craig Leuthold, Owner of Maryhill Winery in Goldendale.

Report Methodology

Prices We Pay: The Cost of Doing Business in Washington draws on three inputs: interviews with 18 consumer-facing small businesses across Washington representing industries closely tied to household spending; secondary research from state agencies, industry associations, and academic studies; and current and past profit and loss statements and pricing data from participating businesses. The report also draws on the Association of Washington Business Spring 2026 Washington Employer Survey.

RELEASE: New Report: Rising Costs Are Deepening Washington State’s Affordability Crisis

SEATTLE – Washington is one of the most expensive places to live in the country—and prices are rising faster here than in any other state—according to a new report released today by the Washington Roundtable and Kinetic West, titled Prices We Pay: Understanding Washington’s Affordability Crisis.

Washington now ranks as the fifth most expensive state in the nation, and affordability pressures are not isolated to Seattle. All 12 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) in Washington state fall within the top 25 percent most expensive nationally.

“This report puts data behind what people are experiencing every day,” said Marc Casale, CEO of Kinetic West, the study’s lead research partner. “It draws on independent national and regional data, and the story is consistent across every measure: costs are high, rising quickly, and showing up in the everyday decisions people make.”

Key findings:

  • Costs rising faster than anywhere else: Prices in Washington have risen faster than any other state, growing twice as fast as California, which is the most expensive state in the nation.
  • Household spending up sharply: Per-person consumer spending has risen nearly 55 percent since 2015, driven by increases in essentials like housing, food, healthcare, and transportation—which now account for 59 percent of total spending.
  • High costs statewide: Every MSA in Washington ranks among the nation’s top quartile for prices. Seattle ranks as the fifth-most expensive MSA and is the highest-priced metro outside California. Four other Washington MSAs—Bremerton, Mount Vernon, Olympia, and Vancouver—rank in the top 10 percent nationally.
  • Population shifts linked to cost differences: Between 2021 and 2023, Washington experienced a net loss of more than 55,000 residents, with most moving to lower cost states.

“It’s getting harder to make the math work here, and we have to understand what’s driving these cost pressures,” said Rachel Smith, President of the Washington Roundtable. “No one sector can solve this challenge alone. After all, government doesn’t set the price of your refrigerator repair or your dinner out, and businesses don’t set tax or regulatory policy—but those decisions are deeply connected, and the rising costs of regulations and tax policy are showing up at kitchen tables across the state.”

Smith added, “When it comes to tax policy, Washington should endeavor to be average. We can’t continue to have the only B&O tax in the nation, alongside some of the highest rates for combined state and local sales taxes, capital gains, estate, and now income taxes on high earners, without those costs showing up in the rising prices families pay every day.”

The full report is available here.

About Washington Roundtable

Washington Roundtable is a nonprofit organization comprised of senior executives of major private-sector employers in Washington state. Our members work together to effect positive change on public policy issues that they believe are most important to supporting state economic vitality and fostering opportunity for all Washingtonians. Learn more at waroundtable.com.

About Kinetic West

Kinetic West is a social impact consulting firm that helps partners connect insights and strategies across education, workforce, and economic systems to drive lasting impact. Our team combines data analysis, stakeholder engagement, and strategy design to help leaders align programs, policies, and partnerships around a shared vision of economic mobility. Kinetic West brings a deep expertise across sectors—education, labor, postsecondary, philanthropy, and industry—and a proven track record of helping states, cities, and organizations turn strategy into systems change. Learn more at kineticwest.com.

Report Methodology

Prices We Pay draws on multiple independent national and regional datasets to assess affordability in Washington and how it compares across the state, to peer metropolitan areas, and to other states nationwide. The analysis integrates measures of prices, household spending, and cost of living, using data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the MIT Living Wage Calculator, and other nationally recognized sources.

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Joint Statement from Business Leaders Opposing HB 2100

Olympia – January 22, 2026 – The Washington Roundtable, Association of Washington Business, Bellevue Chamber of Commerce, Seattle Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce, and Greater Spokane Inc. issued the following joint statement today opposing HB 2100, legislation that would expand a Seattle-style payroll tax statewide.

“Washingtonians across the state are facing an affordability crisis. Families are struggling with rising housing costs, groceries, childcare, utilities, and uncertainty in the job market. Employers of all sizes are facing the same pressures, compounded by a growing tax burden that makes it harder to hire, expand, or even keep jobs in Washington.

HB 2100 would make that crisis worse.

Modeled after Seattle’s JumpStart payroll tax, HB 2100 is a tax on jobs, applying to employers with as few as 20 employees. This approach raises costs on hiring and wages at the exact moment when affordability, job growth, and business survivability should be the Legislature’s top priorities.

Experience shows what happens when jobs are taxed. Seattle’s payroll tax has resulted in rising commercial vacancy rates, slower job growth, and employers relocating to more competitive cities like Bellevue, where economic activity is stronger, and elected officials work to support job creators. Expanding Seattle’s failed policies statewide risks exporting Washington jobs to more competitive states.

As lawmakers consider HB 2100 and other tax proposals, our priorities remain clear:

  • Affordability must be prioritized. New taxes and tax increases need to be balanced with the costs they raise for families, workers, and consumers.
  • Results and accountability matter. Despite state spending increases every year for the last decade, and the largest tax increase in state history last session, outcomes on voter priorities — like education, housing, and affordability — have continued to decline.
  • Budget sustainability is a must. The state cannot continue to lurch from one multibillion-dollar budget crisis to the next.
  • Economic competitiveness matters. Policies that discourage job creation and investment not only undermine long-term fiscal stability for the state, but shrink the tax base locally, regionally, and statewide.

Eight in 10 voters are already concerned about their own personal financial situation and are concerned about the availability of good-paying jobs for working families. We need better outcomes that people can see and feel in their communities.

We urge lawmakers to reject HB 2100. We stand ready to partner with legislators on solutions that prioritize affordability, accountability, and economic growth.”

Quotes from Business Leaders

“This bill is a tax on good paying jobs – the kind of jobs that allow people to take care of their families, contribute to their communities, and pay the taxes that fund government services. It is a tax on jobs at a time when employers are already absorbing $9 billion in new taxes from last legislative session. And it is a tax proposal heavy on rhetoric, calling employer concerns ‘exploitation, propaganda, and hostage-taking,’ but light on specifics and with no plan beyond a catchy title. We urge you to oppose this bill because, I worked in government for 15 years, and I know we can do better.” –  Rachel Smith, President, Washington Roundtable

“The data is clear; small businesses in Seattle and surrounding communities are fighting to survive. This bill would push more of them closer to the edge. As leaders, we have a responsibility to protect jobs and livelihoods in our city and across our state. We oppose this bill on behalf of the voters and stakeholders who keep Washington’s economy moving, and the workers, families, and employers struggling to keep up with rising costs. Simply put, HB 2100 is another barrier that threatens our ability to keep businesses open, competitive, and jobs rooted in Seattle and Washington state. We urge you to oppose this bill because the cost of your inaction is more jobs lost, businesses shuttered, and residents forced to leave the region they call home.” – Joe Nguyen, President & CEO, Seattle Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce

“Since Seattle adopted their “jump start” payroll tax, jobs in Bellevue have grown by over 4,000 positions while Seattle has lost over 5,000. Replicating this experiment statewide will only benefit the economies of Idaho and Arizona. The provision that exempts Seattle essentially forces taxpayers in Bellingham and Vancouver to subsidize Seattle’s city budget. The state’s own economist warns that private sector job growth was negative in 2025 and is optimistically projected to be flat in the years ahead. Throwing the gasoline of a new payroll tax on the state’s five-alarm-fire jobs situation would be an unmitigated disaster.” –  Joe Fain, President & CEO, Bellevue Chamber of Commerce

“Washington employers are already struggling with the high cost of living and doing business here, and this bill would be another step in the wrong direction. If it passed, it would add to a growing pessimism about the direction of the state’s business climate, especially among small and medium-sized employers. Even holding a debate about it sends the wrong message to employers who are thinking about investing here. Are we trying to encourage good paying jobs or penalize them?” –  Kris Johnson, President, Association of Washington Business

“Washington families and businesses depend on stable, good paying jobs to strengthen our economy, drive growth, and keep border counties like Spokane competitive with neighboring states. During a statewide affordability crisis, policies like HB 2100 only serve to increase costs for employers and working families while undermining long term economic health and regional competitiveness. Greater Spokane Inc. urges lawmakers to reject this bill and instead advance policies that strengthen economic stability and open the door to new opportunities, not close it.” –  Alisha Benson, Chief Executive Officer, Greater Spokane, Inc.

“Washington has crossed the point where higher taxes stop generating growth and start driving it away. I operate multiple businesses in this state and refuse to incorporate any other here because lawmakers have taken too much on every front. Between payroll taxes, business taxes, and rising costs, it’s become harder to invest, harder to hire, and harder to justify growing in Washington. Policies like this don’t create opportunity—they push it elsewhere.” – Bryan Shull, Owner, Trap Door Brewing, Vancouver

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NEWS: Rachel Smith to Lead Washington Roundtable

Washington Roundtable Names Rachel Smith as Next President;
Seattle Metro Chamber Announces Interim President and CEO

SEATTLE, WA – August 20, 2025 – Washington Roundtable today announced that Rachel Smith will become the organization’s next president, effective Oct. 1, 2025. Smith will transition out of her current role as president and CEO of the Seattle Metropolitan (Seattle Metro) Chamber of Commerce this fall. The Seattle Metro Chamber has appointed Gabriella Buono, the Chamber’s current Chief Impact Officer, to serve as interim president and CEO and the board of trustees will launch a search for its next permanent top executive.

“Rachel is a highly respected advocate for Washington’s businesses at a time when the state is facing strong economic headwinds, from statewide tax increases on businesses of all sizes to economic shifts at the federal level. She brings deep civic expertise, strategic leadership, and a proven ability to work across sectors and with public officials around the state,” said Julie Sandler, Washington Roundtable board chair, and co-founder and venture partner at PSL Ventures. “We are excited to welcome her to the Roundtable and confident she will drive solutions that support both our state’s economic health and pathways to opportunity for all Washingtonians.”

“Rachel understands the needs of employers across the state, from the I-5 corridor to communities east of the Cascades,” said Michael Senske, current member and past chair of the Washington Roundtable, and president and CEO of Pearson Packaging Systems in Spokane. “Under her leadership, the Roundtable will continue to elevate the voice of businesses statewide and pursue policies that strengthen Washington’s economy and communities.”

Smith has served as president and CEO of the Seattle Metro Chamber since 2021, where she grew the organization’s membership, collaborated with local governments on major initiatives focused on regional recovery, transportation, housing, and championed small and minority-owned businesses. Smith also launched The Index, a survey measuring voters’ priorities, a now essential resource to understand where business and voters’ views align.

Smith brings more than two decades of experience in government affairs, policy, operations, and advocacy, including 13 years serving in local and regional government. She’s held leadership roles in local and regional government, as deputy county executive and chief of staff to King County Executive Dow Constantine, as well as government and community relations roles at Sound Transit and in the administration of former Seattle Mayor Greg Nickels.

In addition to leading the Roundtable’s efforts to push policy positions that boost state economic vitality and foster opportunity for all Washingtonians, Smith will advance the organization’s focus on addressing the rising cost of doing business and corresponding impact on affordability, on government delivering results for the people it serves, and on partnerships and collaboration to advance progress.

“Washington is a great place to live and work, and employers are a driving force behind keeping it competitive and livable,” said Preston Feight, CEO of PACCAR and a member of the Washington Roundtable. “Rachel brings the kind of thoughtful leadership that can unite businesses across industries to advance policies that support economic growth and opportunity in every part of the state.”

“It is an honor to step into this new role with the Roundtable,” Smith said. “Across all levels of government, and in every corner of Washington state, it is imperative that employers are recognized for what they are – an essential part of healthy communities – and that we work together to avoid actions that undermine our economic competitiveness, including policies that disincentivize job growth or make it more expensive to start or grow a business. I look forward to working with officials and partners on solutions that will improve our quality of life and generate prosperity. I am deeply grateful to the Seattle Metro Chamber’s board and staff for their dedication and partnership over the last nearly five years, and I look forward to continuing to collaborate in this new role.”

“The Seattle Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce is thriving thanks to Rachel’s leadership these last nearly five years. We are grateful for her dedication, accomplishments, and the positive momentum she leaves behind,” said Susan Loosmore, chair of the Seattle Metro Chamber board and executive vice president, strategic advisor at T-Mobile. “We are also confident that Gabriella Buono, the Chamber’s current Chief Impact Officer, will guide the team with strength and stability during this transition.”

About Washington Roundtable

Washington Roundtable is a nonprofit organization comprised of senior executives of major private sector employers in Washington state. Our members work together to effect positive change on public policy issues that they believe are most important to supporting state economic vitality and fostering opportunity for all Washingtonians. Learn more at waroundtable.com.

About Seattle Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce
The Seattle Metropolitan (Seattle Metro) Chamber of Commerce is the regional business advocacy organization that engages the innovation and entrepreneurship of its 2,500 members to promote inclusive economic prosperity. Founded in 1882 by local business leaders, the Chamber today is an independent organization representing a regional workforce of approximately 750,000. Learn more at seattlechamber.com.

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Sara Garrettson, sara@waroundtable.com
Lars Erickson, larse@seattlechamber.com